NFL Week 12 – NFL odds, betting picks, and best betting offers

The home stretch of the NFL season has arrived with plenty of storylines surrounding the league.

One of the most highly anticipated matchups of the season took place as the Philadelphia Eagles got their revenge in a Super Bowl rematch by taking down the Chiefs 21-17 on Monday Night Football.

The Eagles held the Chiefs scoreless in the second half and came from down 10 points to move to 9-1 on the season which remains the best record in the NFL.

Joshua Dobbs continues to show impressive flashes but was unable to lead the Vikings past the Broncos on Sunday Night Football. Russell Wilson and company squeezed past  Dobbs and the Vikings in a 21-20 victory to move to 5-5 on the year and firmly in the playoff hunt.

Zach Wilson also has officially been benched as the Jets were blown out 32-6 by the Buffalo Bills. The pipedreams of Aaron Rodgers returning to help this team in the postseason are dimming and former Connecticut QB Tim Boyle will now attempt to right the ship.

Joe Burrow saw the end of his season come early after suffering a torn ligament in his throwing wrist on Thursday Night Football. Baltimore cruised to a 34-20 victory over Cincinnati, but the loss of Burrow is far more concerning moving forward.

With 16 teams across the NFL sitting with a .500 record or within one game of it, these final few weeks will dictate the overall playoff picture. There are no bye weeks in Week 12 and three Thanksgiving Day matchups to kick things off so a loaded slate of NFL games will help decide this. Here is a look at some of the best value on the betting slate for Week 12. 

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⚡ Quick NFL picks for Week 12

• Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets: Dolphins -10 (-108) at DraftKings
• Denver Broncos vs. Cleveland Browns: Broncos -1.5 (-109) at BetRivers
• Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers- Under 48.5 points (-110) at BetMGM

1

⭐ Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets: Dolphins -10 (-108) at DraftKings

The Miami Dolphins have been unable to beat a good team this season bringing on doubts about their playoff outlook. Luckily, the New York Jets are not a good team, and this is a terrific bounce-back spot for the Fins.

This will be the NFL’s first-ever Black Friday game and will be kicking off at 3:00 PM EST. Miami is coming off a 20-13 victory over the Raiders which pushed them to 7-3 on the year. While it was not the blowout victory that the Dolphins have been known to produce, the Raiders deserve credit for playing with a newfound spark since the coaching change.

It should be noted that both De’Von Achane and Salvon Ahmed both suffered injuries last week but neither have been ruled out for Friday and Raheem Mostert is more than capable of handling additional carries. This also does not impact the offensive firepower brought on by Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and the rest of the passing game. 

There is far less optimism on the Jets side of things. The Zach Wilson experience finally hit rock bottom as he threw for just 81 yards on 7-15 passing with a touchdown and an interception last week. While it is clear he is not the answer, there should not be much more optimism for Tim Boyle.

The former UConn and Eastern Kentucky quarterback went undrafted in 2018 and has played in 18 games throughout his time with the Packers, Lions, Bears, and now the Jets. He has thrown for three touchdowns and nine interceptions across his 120 pass attempts at the NFL level.

After stepping in for Wilson against the Bills, Boyle completed seven of his 14 passes for just 33 total yards. It also should be noted that during his time in college, he threw far more interceptions than touchdowns. During his three years at UConn, he had just one passing touchdown and 13 interceptions. In his final season which he spent after transferring to Eastern Kentucky, Boyle had 11 passing touchdowns to his 13 interceptions. 

Expect the Dolphins to come in with a chip on their shoulder looking to prove they should be regarded as a legitimate AFC contender. There is no reason for them not to be considering how wide-open the AFC is, and this is a great opportunity for them to pour on points. Miami continues to lead the NFL in scoring at 30.5 points per game and is in the top five in yards, first downs, net yards per attempt, and score percentage.

There is no reason to have optimism about the Jets putting up anywhere near this type of production considering they have produced just 15.0 points per game this season which is 30^th in the league. Tim Boyle did not look sharp in his opportunity last week, but it is tough to put full blame on him.

He will be judged much more in the upcoming week, but it is difficult to feel confident he has the ability the team needs. The bottom line is the stage is set for the Dolphins to pour on some points and cruise to a blowout victory. Expect them to secure a win by at least a two-touchdown margin and don’t be surprised if this game gets fully out of control and enters blowout territory. You can wager on this at -108 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook. 

🏈 Bet on Dolphins -10 at odds -108 with DraftKings 🏈

⭐ Denver Broncos vs. Cleveland Browns: Broncos -1.5 (-109) at BetRivers

Both these teams have reasons to be optimistic heading into this matchup. Both are coming off narrow victories by a combined margin of four points with each beginning to find their identity as a defensive-minded team.

Cleveland managed to squeeze by the Steelers in a 13-10 victory in which Dorian Thompson-Robinson showed some signs of life under center. The 5th-round pick is not a guy who can win a game on his own, but he made mostly smart decisions and did enough to give the team a chance. With a defense that is holding opponents to just 18.0 points per game, which is the 6^th-best rate, and the fewest yards per game- this is all DTR has to do.

The Browns’ defense also ranks first in passing yards allowed, second in net yards per pass attempt, and leads the NFL with the fewest 1^st downs allowed. 

For Denver, they have turned their season around after a disastrous 1-5 start to the year. They have now won their past four games over the Packers, Chiefs, Bills, and Vikings to climb to 5-5 on the season. While their defensive numbers are still inflated due to the 70 points and 726 yards allowed to the Dolphins in Week 3, this loss caused the team to take a hard look in the mirror to make some changes and the results have followed. Defensive Coordinator Vance Joseph has played more zone defense, managed to generate more pressure, and has left more coverage personnel on the field.

The team has had much more success holding the Chiefs to just 9 points and not allowing more than 22 points in a game during the winning streak. Over the past three games the Broncos also forced 12 interceptions. Russell Wilson has begun to look more like the player they thought they were trading for and is leading the NFL in game-winning drives with four on the season. While he still is not quite the Pro Bowl talent he once was, he has thrown just four interceptions on the year which is a massive improvement from the 11 he had last year. 

While the Browns deserve credit for their 7-3 record and dominant defense, the Broncos have more top-end talent and are playing their best football. Confidence is growing within the building and there are still levels this football team can grow in which they have not achieved yet.

Expect this momentum to continue into this matchup and for them to secure another victory over the Browns. The turnover-hungry Denver defense will cause some issues for the inexperienced play of Dorian Thompson-Robinson which could be the difference in the matchup.

DTR still has questions about his ability to make big-time throws and has four interceptions without throwing a touchdown so far this year. Ride with Broncos country as they continue to right the ship and Denver further cements their playoff outlook. You can wager on this on BetRivers Sportsbook at -109 odds. 

🏈 Bet on Broncos -1.5 at -109 with BetRivers 🏈

⭐ Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers- Under 48.5 points (-110) at BetMGM

With the AFC playoff race wide open, this is a pair of teams that should each be looking to make a statement.

Baltimore is riding high with an 8-3 record and coming off a Thursday Night Victory over the Cincinnati Bengals which flew under the radar due to the Joe Burrow injury.

The Ravens received some tough injury news of their own as TE Mark Andrews suffered an ankle injury that is likely to end his season. This is a huge hit to Baltimore’s offense as Andrews leads the Ravens in touchdowns, first downs, and is second in both receptions and yards.

Lamar Jackson also had to go into the injury tent for a while and seemed bothered by an ankle injury. While he is not expected to miss any time, this is something to monitor moving forward.

On the season, Baltimore is averaging 27.6 points per game which is the 4^th best rate in the league. However, they are still a defensive-minded team holding opponents to just 16.1 points per game which is the second-best rate in the league. They also are third in yards allowed, first in net yards per pass attempt allowed, and fourth in first downs allowed. 

The Chargers have been one of the biggest disappointments of this NFL season. They enter Week 12 with a 4-6 record and on a two-game losing streak to the Packers and Lions. While Justin Herbert has still impressed, throwing for 2609 yards, 19 touchdowns, and five interceptions, he has now fallen below .500 for his career record.

Herbert has been let down by the defensive side of the ball as the Chargers rank 23^rd in points allowed, 31^st in yards allowed, and dead last in first downs allowed. They have needed to outscore opponents to get in the win column and have not been able to do so. This is especially concerning considering the Ravens' defense may be the best that Herbert has faced this season. 

Expect both teams to struggle to score the ball and for this matchup not to live up to the hype most are expecting. While Lamar Jackson and Justin Herbert will make the headlines, the defenses will play the larger role in deciding who will get the victory.

The Ravens offense is going to take some time to adjust to the loss of Mark Andrews and if Lamar Jackson looks as labored as he did last week, their offense will be much less dynamic. It also should be expected that the Ravens' defense causes some issues for Herbert and the rest of the Chargers' offense as well.

Count on there being some sloppy football in which neither team fully hits its stride. While it is a must-win matchup for Los Angeles, stay away from a side and look toward the under in this game. Don’t expect either side to eclipse 25 points and for the final score to end around 23-17. You can wager on this at BetMGM Sportsbook at -110 odds. 

🏈 Wager on Under 48.5 pointes at -110 with BetMGM 🏈

🏟️ Best online sportsbooks for the NFL

If you are searching for the best NFL betting sites, look no further. Here are the best sportsbooks we can easily recommend to NFL fans in the US.

• bet365 (Available in: CO, OH, IA, VA)
• DraftKings (Available in: AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KY, LA, MD, MA, MI, NH, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV)
• BetMGM (Available in: AZ, CO, FL, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, MD, MA, MI, MS, NV, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, PR, TN, VA, WA, WV, and WY)
• BetRivers (Available in: AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, LA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, VA, WV, and WY)
• Desert Diamond (Available in: AZ)
• Betway (Available in: IA)

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